Для цитирования:
Dol A. V., Fomkina O. A., Ivanov D. V. Threshold Values of Morphological Parameters Associated with Cerebral Aneurysm Rupture Risk [Доль А. В., Фомкина О. А., Иванов Д. В. Пороговые значения морфологических параметров, связанных с риском разрыва аневризм сосудов головного мозга] // Известия Саратовского университета. Новая серия. Серия: Математика. Механика. Информатика. 2019. Т. 19, вып. 3. С. 289-304. DOI: 10.18500/1816-9791-2019-19-3-289-304, EDN: OVUFFT
Threshold Values of Morphological Parameters Associated with Cerebral Aneurysm Rupture Risk
[Пороговые значения морфологических параметров, связанных с риском разрыва аневризм сосудов головного мозга]
Многочисленные исследования показывают, что морфологические параметры аневризм связаны с их разрывом. Однако литературные данные о значениях этих параметров значительно различаются. Целью данного исследования является определение значений морфологических параметров, которые коррелируют с разрывом аневризм сосудов головного мозга и могут быть использованы во время предоперационного планирования для выявления аневризм, склонных к разрыву. Средние значения морфологических факторов, таких как соотношение сторон и отношение размеров аневризмы, были собраны из литературных данных для разорвавшихся и неразорвавшихся аневризм. Был выполнен статистический анализ этих факторов. Статистически значимые различия были получены между средними значениями в выборках отношения размеров и соотношения сторон аневризм для разорвавшихся и неразорвавшихся аневризм. Не обнаружено статистически подтвержденных различий между отношением размеров для разорвавшихся и неразорвавшихся аневризм передней соединительной артерии. Напротив, такие различия были выявлены для обследованных параметров для задней соединительной артерии и для средней мозговой артерии. ROC-анализ позволил вычислить критические значения соотношения сторон и отношения размеров, которые отличают разорвавшиеся аневризмы от неразорвавшихся. Была получена высокая корреляция между отношением размеров и соотношением сторон. Средние значения соотношения сторон и отношения размеров, опубликованные в последние годы, существенно ниже значений данных параметров, опубликованных 10–15 лет назад. Было показано, что среди рассмотренных морфологических факторов соотношение сторон аневризм оказалось значимым. Более того, соотношение сторон коррелирует с отношением размеров, и поэтому отношение размеров можно считать избыточным. Полученное значение критерия соотношения сторон, равное 1.2, было также подтверждено ROC-анализом.
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